With all honesty, I do not believe that the train crash on Saturday can be said to have been a surprise. Mired in corruption allegations from the start, this visually impressive show-piece of Chinese infrastructure has had a series of embarrassing breakdowns in the last few weeks and so there was a degree of inevitability about Saturday's disaster.
Whilst corruption has doubtless played a part in what is increasingly looking like shoddy construction, it is not the only factor. China has "acquired" immense knowledge and capability almost overnight in many high tech industries, without the accompanying due process of trial, error, learning and refinement. As a result, I believe there is less of an appreciation of the complexities and risks associated with applying this technology. This shallow understanding therefore leads to a blasé approach to construction and maintenance, with a corresponding stretching of safety margins and tolerances.
45 people have now paid the ultimate price on Saturday. I pray that their deaths are motivating enough to ensure that the necessary steps are taken to ensure this will never happen again. But in a country of 1.4 billion and where life is still cheap, I fear that nothing will really change.
